Clik here to view.
AGU Statement on Climate Change
by Judith Curry Human induced climate change requires urgent action. – AGU The AGU has just published its new Statement on Climate Change (via a tweet from Gavin Schmidt), with a press release. The...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Who is on which ‘side’ in the climate debate, anyways?
by Judith Curry Well, if you judge ‘sides’ by what climate scientists have to say about the science, it is getting difficult to tell. Kevin Trenberth was interviewed on NPR last nite, the ‘balance’ for...
View ArticleClik here to view.
True courage(?)
by Judith Curry True courage is knowing when you’re wrong but refusing to admit it. - The Onion Courage (?) I’m a big fan of The Onion, and I have been looking for an opportunity to incorporate some of...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Consensus denialism
by Judith Curry Consensus denial: attacking the expert consensus on human caused global warming. - Dana Nuccitelli Oh my, things are really heating up in anticipation of the final release of the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The IPCC’s ‘inconvenient truth’
by Judith Curry I have a fairly lengthy op-ed that has been published in The Australian. The piece is titled Consensus distorts the climate picture. Unfortunately, it is behind paywall. An editorial...
View ArticleClik here to view.
NAS/RS Report on Climate Change: Evidence and Causes
by Judith Curry Climate change is one of the defining issues of our time. It is now more certain than ever, based on many lines of evidence, that humans are changing Earth’s climate. – Royal Society...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The Curry factor: 30 to 1
by Judith Curry For balance, for every @curryja you would need 30 from mainstream. – Victor Venema Climate Change National Forum There is a new blog called Climate Change National Forum. From the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
AGU: Enforcing the consensus
by Michael Asten I have decided to reject the submission based on the significant scientific consensus regarding the question of human-induced climate change. – Eos editor After reading in the American...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Consensus angst
by Judith Curry The public seems to have gotten the memo that climate scientists believe that humans are warming the planet, and the warming is dangerous. They also don’t seem to care. For some...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The 97% feud
by Judith Curry An academic feud swirls around how best or even whether to express the scientific consensus around climate change. I’ve written several previous posts about the Cook et al. paper...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Appeals to the climate consensus can give the wrong impression
by Will Howard “Consensus” means different things to different people — and herein lies the problem. You might have heard that 97% of climate scientists agree the world is warming and people are the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
What exactly is going on in their heads?
by Judith Curry Some interesting new research on understanding why there is a lack of public support for the climate change ‘consensus’, the nature of the scientific consensus, and agendas in...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Distinguishing the academic from the interface consensus
by Judith Curry We shed new light on the epistemic struggle between establishing consensus and acknowledging plurality, by explicating different ways of consensus-making in science and society and...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Groups and herds: implications for the IPCC
by Judith Curry Group failures often have disastrous consequences—not merely for businesses, nonprofits, and governments, but for all those affected by them. – Cass Sunstein and Reid Hastie Context The...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Climate psychology’s consensus bias
by Andy West Climate psychologists have for years now puzzled over public inaction on climate change and also what makes skeptics tick (or sick), apparently making little progress on these issues....
View ArticleClik here to view.
Contradiction on emotional bias in the climate domain
by Andy West Emotions and messaging about climate change. Universal acknowledgement of emotional bias. The psychological phenomena of emotional bias, a distortion in cognition and decision-making due...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Ethics of climate expertise
by Judith Curry If deference to the authoritative opinions of experts is essential to our rationality and knowledge, and if that deference unavoidably rests on trust, not only in the competence, but...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Against ‘consensus’ messaging
by Judith Curry A decades’ experience shows that “Consensus messaging” doesn’t work. – Dan Kahan Two weeks ago, Bristol University hosted a debate between Stefan Lewandowsky and Dan Kahan [link]. What...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Scientists speaking with one voice: panacea or pathology?
by Judith Curry The authority of a scientific body is not undermined by questioning, but rather depends upon it – Beatty & Moore At the Conference Circling the Square that I attended in Nottingham...
View ArticleClik here to view.
A key admission regarding climate memes
by Andy West Lewandowsky and Oreskes raise the prospect that via the agency of memes, the climate Consensus with its high certainty of danger, could be a socially generated artifact and not a...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Is the EPA’s Clean Power Plan legal? Lawyers and law professors disagree
by Judith Curry We polled 130 environmental attorneys and law professors from around the country about the legality of the Environmental Protection Agency’s proposed Clean Power Plan. The results might...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Climate Change, Epistemic Trust, and Expert Trustworthiness
by Judith Curry Among the best indirect indicators available to nonexperts is the overwhelming numbers of scientists testifying to anthropogenic climate change. Yet the evidential significance of such...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The conceits of consensus
by Judith Curry Critiques, the 3%, and is 47 the new 97? For background, see my previous post The 97% feud. Cook et al. critiques At the heart of the consensus controversy is the paper by Cook et al....
View ArticleClik here to view.
Structured expert judgment
by Judith Curry Any attempt to impose agreement will “promote confusion between consensus and certainty”. The goal should be to quantify uncertainty, not to remove it from the decision process. –...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Adjudicating the future: silencing climate dissent via the courts
by Judith Curry A British academic wants an international court to declare climate skeptics wrong, once and for all. From Donna LaFramboise [link]: Last week, a three-day conference took place in the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Adjudicating scientific disputes in climate science
by Judith Curry The limits of judicial competence and the risk of taking sides Several recent posts have discussed the involvement of courts in climate science disputes: The Urgenda ruling in the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Climate culture
by Andy West A frequent topic at Climate Etc. is the ‘consensus.’ An argument is presented here that the climate consensus is as much about culture as it is about climate science. For about 150 years...
View ArticleClik here to view.
What climate sensitivity says about the IPCC assessment process
by Rud Istvan If climate sensitivity is high, then modest GHG increases cause significant warming. If it is low, then significant GHG increases will not. Analysis of the IPCC assessment of sensitivity...
View ArticleClik here to view.
‘Consensus’ by exhaustion
by Judith Curry Regarding the consensus-seeking process for the IPCC SAR: It is diplomacy by exhaustion. And then it becomes consensus by exhaustion as we shall see. – Bernie Lewin At Enthusiasm,...
View ArticleClik here to view.
AMS Statement on Climate Change
by Judith Curry The American Meteorological Society (AMS) has just published its new statement on Climate Change. The statement is billed as an ‘Information Statement’ of the AMS. This statement is...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The ‘hard won’ consensus
by Judith Curry The extent to which a consensus is “hard won” can be understood to depend on the personal qualities of the participating experts.” Brent Ranalli Bishop Hill points to an interesting...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Climate change: no consensus on consensus
by Judith Curry The manufactured consensus of the IPCC has had the unintended consequences of distorting the science, elevating the voices of scientists that dispute the consensus, and motivating...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Trusting (?) the experts
by Judith Curry Mathbabe asks ‘Whom can you trust?’ and discusses trusting experts, climate change research, and scientific translators. Mathbabe (very cool name for a blog) has an interesting series...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Do scientific assessments need to be consensual to be authoritative?
by Judith Curry The drive for consensus within the IPCC process, and its subsequent public marketing, has becomes a source of scientific weakness rather than of scientific strength in the turbulent...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Consensus and controversy
by Judith Curry This report outlines the main positions and debates surrounding the literally hot topic of man-made global warming. Inspired by social studies of science and technology, the goal of...
View ArticleClik here to view.
UN climate talks: no consensus on consensus
AFP – A debilitating row with Russia at UN climate talks this week exposed a fundamental flaw in how decisions are taken — the entire system balanced precariously on an ill-defined notion of consensus,...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Manufacturing consensus: clinical guidelines
by Judith Curry Yet these and other guidelines continue to be followed despite concerns about bias, because “We like to stick within the standard of care, because when the shit hits the fan we all want...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The 97% ‘consensus’
by Judith Curry Isn’t everyone in the 97%? I am. – Andrew Montford I’m sure most of you have encountered the recent paper by Cook et al. (2013) Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The 97% ‘consensus’: Part II
by Judith Curry [T]here’s good reason to believe that the self-righteous and contemptuous tone with which the “scientific consensus” point is typically advanced (“assault on reason,” “the debate is...
View ArticleClik here to view.
What is there a 97% consensus about?
by Frank Hobbs (franktoo) At the Senate Hearing on “Dogma and Data”, dogma about the 97% consensus went unchallenged. Democratic Senators constantly recited the phrase “97% consensus”, but it is not...
View ArticleClik here to view.
History and the limits of the climate consensus
by Judith Curry Acknowledging the science of global warming does not require accepting that it is immune to criticism. I just spotted a wonderful article in the American Conservative – History and the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
New AMS members survey on climate change
by Judith Curry The American Meteorological Society has issued a draft report on the results from a survey of the views of their membership on climate change. Their report on the initial findings is...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The paradox of the climate change consensus
by Judith Curry In our view, the fact that so many scientists agree so closely about the [causes of the] earth’s warming is, itself, evidence of a lack of evidence for [human caused] global warming. –...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The Republic of Science
by Judith Curry The professional standards of science must impose a framework of discipline and at the same time encourage rebellion against it. – Michael Polanyi (1962) A recent tweet by Andrea...
View ArticleManufacturing consensus: the early history of the IPCC
by Judith Curry Short summary: scientists sought political relevance and allowed policy makers to put a big thumb on the scale of the scientific assessment of the attribution of climate change. Bernie...
View ArticleClik here to view.
National Climate Assessment: A crisis of epistemic overconfidence
by Judith Curry “You can say I don’t believe in gravity. But if you step off the cliff you are going down. So we can say I don’t believe climate is changing, but it is based on science.” – Katherine...
View ArticleHearing on the Biodiversity Report
by Judith Curry The House Natural Resources Committee Subcommittee on Water, Oceans and Wildlife is holding a Hearing today on Responding to the Global Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental...
View ArticleExtremes
by Judith Curry Politics versus science in attributing extreme weather events to manmade global warming. If you follow me on twitter, you may have noticed that I was scheduled to testify before the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Re-evaluating the manufacture of the climate consensus
by Judith Curry A new book by Oppenheimer, Oreskes et al. entitled ‘Discerning Experts: The Practices of Scientific Assessment for Environmental Policy‘ makes a case against consensus seeking in...
View ArticleTruth or consequences: global warming consensus thinking and the decline of...
by Geoffrey Weiss and Claude Roessiger The so-called debate about the causes and effects of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is a notable irony. Rather than a forum for free disputation, AGW has in...
View Article
